Fizzle or Sizzle? What’s Behind the 59 Value Comp For Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO)

The Value Composite Two of Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) is 59. The VC2 is calculated using the price to book value, price to sales, EBITDA to EV, price to cash flow, price to earnings and shareholder yield.  Similarly, the Value Composite One (VC1) is a method that investors use to determine a company’s value.  The VC1 of Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) is 54.  A company with a value of 0 is thought to be an undervalued company, while a company with a value of 100 is considered an overvalued company.  The VC1 is calculated using the same metrics as VC2, but without taking into consideration shareholder yield.

Successful traders and investors often learn how to develop disciplined strategies. Trading strategies can range from very simple to highly complex. Whatever the strategy choice, investors who stay the course may have a better chance of coming out a winner in the stock market. Traders may try to avoid getting trapped into a sour situation. Being able to stomach some losses along the way may not be easy, but it may help sustain profits in the long run. Making the best possible decision is typically what many investors attempt to accomplish. Often times, it may take some bad trades to get to the good ones. Combining the study of company fundamentals with technical stock charts may lead to increased overall knowledge about a particular name. Technical analysts will often be following price action tick by tick with the hopes of capitalizing on a defined trend.

Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) has a current MF Rank of 3162. Developed by hedge fund manager Joel Greenblatt, the intention of the formula is to spot high quality companies that are trading at an attractive price. The formula uses ROIC and earnings yield ratios to find quality, undervalued stocks. In general, companies with the lowest combined rank may be the higher quality picks. Career Education Corporation has a current ERP5 Rank of 8850. The ERP5 Rank may assist investors with spotting companies that are undervalued. This ranking uses four ratios. These ratios are Earnings Yield, ROIC, Price to Book, and 5 year average ROIC. When looking at the ERP5 ranking, it is generally considered the lower the value, the better.

Watching some historical volatility numbers on shares of Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO), we can see that the 12 month volatility is presently 28.119000. The 6 month volatility is 27.532400, and the 3 month is spotted at 26.918900. Following volatility data can help measure how much the stock price has fluctuated over the specified time period. Although past volatility action may help project future stock volatility, it may also be vastly different when taking into account other factors that may be driving price action during the measured time period. 

We can now take a quick look at some historical stock price index data. Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) presently has a 10 month price index of 1.11721. The price index is calculated by dividing the current share price by the share price ten months ago. A ratio over one indicates an increase in share price over the period. A ratio lower than one shows that the price has decreased over that time period. Looking at some alternate time periods, the 12 month price index is 1.28464, the 24 month is 1.90629, and the 36 month is 3.65416. Narrowing in a bit closer, the 5 month price index is 0.91232, the 3 month is 0.73240, and the 1 month is currently 0.93677.

Valuation Scores

At the time of writing, Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) has a Piotroski F-Score of 5. The F-Score may help discover companies with strengthening balance sheets. The score may also be used to spot the weak performers. Joseph Piotroski developed the F-Score which employs nine different variables based on the company financial statement. A single point is assigned to each test that a stock passes. Typically, a stock scoring an 8 or 9 would be seen as strong. On the other end, a stock with a score from 0-2 would be viewed as weak.

Career Education Corporation has an M-score Beneish of -2.765941. This M-score model was developed by Messod Beneish in order to detect manipulation of financial statements. The score uses a combination of eight different variables. The specifics of the variables and formula can be found in the Beneish paper “The Detection of Earnings Manipulation”.

Investors may be interested in viewing the Gross Margin score on shares of Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO). The name currently has a score of 18.00000. This score is derived from the Gross Margin (Marx) stability and growth over the previous eight years. The Gross Margin score lands on a scale from 1 to 100 where a score of 1 would be considered positive, and a score of 100 would be seen as negative.

Shifting gears, we can see that Career Education Corporation (NasdaqGS:CECO) has a Q.i. Value of 31.00000. The Q.i. Value ranks companies using four ratios. These ratios consist of EBITDA Yield, FCF Yield, Liquidity, and Earnings Yield. The purpose of the Q.i. Value is to help identify companies that are the most undervalued. Typically, the lower the value, the more undervalued the company tends to be.

Investors may be trying to figure out which chart patterns or technical indicators to use. This may take some time to figure out which strategy works for each individual. Back testing specific indicators can be a good way to personally evaluate a particular method. Many investors will opt to follow trading strategies of the professionals. This may work well for some but not others. Figuring out what works and what doesn’t should help the investor make better future decisions. Some investors will choose to go against the grain and develop a contrarian approach. Pulling out substantial profits in the markets may seem like a daunting task. Playing things safe may be the choice for one investor but not the next. Many people will choose to adhere to the old saying of nothing ventured nothing gained. This of course may vary from investor to investor depending on the amount of capital available.